Exhibit 2: Straw Vote
Spreadsheet 2015 FY 2015 FY2015 Total Adopted Service Budget * (County) * Education Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools Funding CMS OPERATIONAL FUNDING 381,076,594 373,736,594 CMS EMPLOYEE SALARY 12,200,000 12,200,000 INCREASE- (RESTRICTED CONT.
As Coughlan (2000) shows, if it is possible to have a straw poll before the vote, then there exist equilibria in which voters reveal their information in the straw poll and vote optimally in the actual vote based on the pooled information from the straw vote.
In the case of a straw poll, Coughlan (2000) shows that, for the parameters used here, there is a fully informative equilibrium in which all players reveal their signals on the straw vote, that is, [[sigma].
Our efforts to compute the symmetric quantal response equilibrium correspondence for majority rule juries with a straw vote were unsuccessful.
This has a snowball effect on straw poll behavior, because they know that others will be uncert ain how to interpret the straw vote.
Appendix B presents a QRE analysis of the straw vote game for the three-person unanimity treatment, including a table that presents the maximum likelihood estimates of [lambda] and [gamma].
With a straw vote, the fully informed Nash equilibrium predicts that both majority and unanimous juries of the same size should have identical accuracy.