For 2020, Ibec forecasts growth will moderate to 2.7% as both the Irish and global economies reach "a mature stage" of the business cycle
. However, it said: "Our forecasts assume a deal on Brexit is reached.
He presented his recent paper "International Business Cycles
: Quantifying the Effects of a World Market for Oil" jointly authored with Johan Gars from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.
When attempting to explicate a theory of the business cycle
, it is important to identify and distinguish between those components that are necessary features of the cycle and those that are merely incidental.
My collaborators and I take a fresh look at the international business cycle
using recent insights from macroeconomics and newly available datasets.
In the present context, dramatic predictions should mostly be seen as a desperate grab for investor immortality, more often than not based on misunderstandings about the nature of the business cycle
, the role of valuations in returns or poorly contextualised geopolitical threat assessments.
(iv) Estimate business cycle
for these countries and co-movements between them.
Design rainy day funds with clear, objective goals that policymakers can refer to regardless of changes in governors, legislatures, and business cycles
Bouwman (2009) finds that many mergers take place at the peak of the business cycle
, while these enjoy significantly higher announcement returns (increase in stock price when the merger is announced).
Of the profit after tax over a business cycle
shall, with respect to capital needs and structure, 40% to 50% to be paid to the owners.
They classify each plan as tax-based or expenditure-based, and they construct a measure of business cycle
conditions at the time the plan is announced.
* Money, Banking, and the Business Cycle
. Volume 1: Integrating Theory and Practice.
In "What effects do macroeconomic conditions have on the time couples with children spend together?" (Review of Economics of the Household, March 2015), Melinda Sandler Morrill and Sabrina Wulff Pabilonia examine two questions: First, how does the time that couples who have children spend together vary over the business cycle
? Second, do changes in couple time together correspond to changes in the total hours worked and when those hours take place?
While the National Bureau of Economic Research's (NBER) Business Cycle
Dating Committee of the United States is responsible for the official dating of peak and trough, their announcements often come with a long delay.
Clearly, the source of consumption inequality depends heavily on the risk premium level and the variation in the market price of risk; both are linked tightly to business cycle